Infrastructure
Three products. One thesis. Each addresses a different layer of the prediction market stack.
The Odds Desk
LiveA cross-market odds terminal that aggregates prediction markets, sportsbooks, and spot markets into a single view. Compare the same question across Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, and traditional sportsbooks. See where prices diverge. Find mispricings that exist because these platforms do not talk to each other.
Covers elections, economic indicators, geopolitics, sports, crypto, and any market where probability is the product. Tracks positions, builds verifiable track records, and surfaces cross-platform spreads in real time. The goal is to be the first screen a serious prediction market participant opens every morning.
TheMO
In developmentThe media layer for prediction markets. Market programming driven by live probability signals, with commentary that contextualizes price movement rather than just reporting it.
TheMO is the broadcast layer. It needs the terminal and the community to exist first. It comes later, and it comes with conviction.
Reality Managers
ActiveThe IRL prediction market community in San Francisco. Events, discussion, and the human network behind the infrastructure.
The people who take prediction markets seriously enough to show up in person. Communities like this generate the feedback, partnerships, and credibility that make everything else work.