ThesisProductsAbout

The Odds Desk

A cross-market odds terminal that aggregates prediction markets, sportsbooks, and spot markets into a single view. Compare the same question across Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, and traditional sportsbooks. See where prices diverge. Find mispricings that exist because these platforms do not talk to each other.

The Odds Desk covers elections, economic indicators, geopolitics, sports, crypto, and any market where probability is the product. It tracks positions, builds verifiable track records, and surfaces cross-platform spreads in real time. The goal is to be the first screen a serious prediction market participant opens every morning.


TheMO

The media layer for prediction markets. Market programming driven by live probability signals, with commentary that contextualizes price movement rather than just reporting it.

TheMO is the broadcast layer. It needs the terminal and the community to have impact. It comes later.

Reality Managers

The IRL prediction market community in San Francisco. Events, discussion, and the human network that makes the rest of this work.